Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.013985 0.016262 0.018777 0.021759 0.025196 0.029031 0.033633
2026-01-04 0.010862 0.013873 0.017504 0.022198 0.028097 0.035258 0.044602
2026-01-11 0.008305 0.011512 0.015688 0.021505 0.029381 0.039653 0.054050
2026-01-18 0.006664 0.009931 0.014482 0.021252 0.031034 0.044615 0.064859
2026-01-25 0.005370 0.008545 0.013242 0.020655 0.032005 0.048663 0.074890
2026-02-01 0.004440 0.007497 0.012279 0.020236 0.033073 0.052876 0.085616
2026-02-08 0.003759 0.006704 0.011549 0.020013 0.034334 0.057445 0.097379
2026-02-15 0.003164 0.005939 0.010726 0.019478 0.034954 0.060997 0.107875
2026-02-22 0.002885 0.005674 0.010696 0.020263 0.037868 0.068632 0.126076
2026-03-01 0.002534 0.005215 0.010243 0.020209 0.039263 0.073778 0.140519
2026-03-08 0.002155 0.004633 0.009472 0.019437 0.039207 0.076283 0.150429
2026-03-15 0.001899 0.004255 0.009033 0.019231 0.040176 0.080747 0.164460
2026-03-22 0.001793 0.004179 0.009196 0.020279 0.043801 0.090784 0.190648
2026-03-29 0.001649 0.003999 0.009118 0.020814 0.046454 0.099238 0.214741
2026-04-05 0.001435 0.003620 0.008556 0.020226 0.046659 0.102752 0.229138
2026-04-12 0.001278 0.003349 0.008191 0.020019 0.047657 0.108021 0.247851
2026-04-19 0.001119 0.003047 0.007710 0.019473 0.047810 0.111477 0.263015
2026-04-26 0.000992 0.002800 0.007321 0.019085 0.048270 0.115649 0.280246
2026-05-03 0.000890 0.002603 0.007025 0.018879 0.049128 0.120799 0.300292
2026-05-10 0.000787 0.002383 0.006634 0.018375 0.049183 0.124080 0.316308
2026-05-17 0.000750 0.002346 0.006719 0.019118 0.052478 0.135462 0.353158
2026-05-24 0.000684 0.002211 0.006517 0.019067 0.053713 0.141945 0.378660
2026-05-31 0.000600 0.002006 0.006092 0.018338 0.053046 0.143594 0.392151